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Storm Bualoi to enter East Sea after midnight, expected to grow stronger

Updated: 10:07, 26/09/2025

Storm Bualoi is forecast to cross the central Philippines into the East Sea (South China Sea) after midnight on Saturday and re-intensify, packing winds of 118–149 kph as it approaches north-central Vietnam.

Vietnam's National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting (NCHMF) said early this morning the storm was over the central Philippines with maximum winds of 117 kph, moving west-northwest at 25–30 kph.

The forecast trajectory of Storm Bualoi toward central Vietnam.

Around 1 a.m. Saturday, Bualoi is expected to enter the East Sea with maximum winds of 103–117 kph, becoming the 10th storm to affect Vietnam this year. It will then maintain track and speed, reaching the central East Sea by 1 a.m. Sunday with winds of 118–133 kph.

By 1 a.m. Monday, the system is forecast to be offshore central Vietnam with winds of 118–149 kph. In the following hours, it is expected to continue west-northwest at about 25 kph and move toward the north-central provinces of Thanh Hoa–Nghe An.

Japan's meteorological agency said terrain friction over the central Philippines has reduced sustained winds to 90 kph. Once over the East Sea, the storm is expected to strengthen again, potentially reaching 162 kph near the north-central coast. The Hong Kong Observatory projects a similar track but a lower peak intensity over the East Sea of around 140 kph.

Mai Van Khiem, director of the NCHMF, noted the central region is entering the peak of the typhoon season. With Bualoi's current path, he expects a wide impact zone spanning the north-central, central, and south-central coasts.

"If the storm slows down, it will bring widespread heavy rain, raising risks of flash floods, landslides, and severe inundation, especially in localities already affected by previous storms," Khiem warned.

Since the start of the year, the East Sea has recorded nine storms and four tropical depressions. Most recently, Ragasa intensified into a super typhoon over water but weakened to a tropical depression near Vietnam under continental high pressure after tracking mainly over mainland China.

The Institute of Meteorology, Hydrology and Climate Change forecasts 4–5 tropical cyclones may form over the East Sea in the final three months of the year, with 2–3 likely to directly affect Vietnam, mainly the central region.

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